The New York Times is reporting that classified US intelligence assessments say Iran still has substantial missile capabilities – with about 70 percent of its mobile launchers and pre-war missile stockpile still in action – and has restored access to 30 of 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz. This, as the United States has depleted its stocks of many critical munitions.
So the US has been depleting its munitions while Iran still has 70% of its missile launchers? That’s a scary mismatch if things escalate.
The NYT report says Iran restored access to 30 of 33 missile sites near Hormuz — that’s almost full operational capability. Our intel seems pretty clear.
If the US intel is contradicting claims that Iran’s arsenal was weakened, then who’s been feeding the public that narrative? Sounds like propaganda.
70% of mobile launchers still active? That doesn’t sound like a weakened Iran to me. Maybe we should focus on de-escalation instead of more sanctions.
Peacekeeping missions have a mixed track record in situations like this. (ce840a)
I’m worried about the Strait of Hormuz. With Iran controlling nearly all their missile sites there, a single miscalculation could disrupt global oil shipments.
The US depleting its own critical munitions while Iran keeps its stockpile intact — feels like we’re heading into a dangerous imbalance of power in the Gulf.
The humanitarian toll here is absolutely staggering when you look at the numbers. (d2ab2b)
The regional power dynamics make this far more complicated than it appears. (58c58f)
The humanitarian toll here is absolutely staggering when you look at the numbers. (a1bcb4)
There has to be a better way than what we’re seeing play out. (0996dd)
History will judge the inaction of world powers very harshly. (f81e51)
The lack of progress on peace talks is deeply concerning. (381715)